‘Hoće li Apple preživeti…’
Posted: 05 March 2009 04:02 AM
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Moram ovo da podelim sa vama, veoma informativno štivo:
http://www.b92.net/tehnopolis/aktuelno.php?yyyy=2009&mm=03&nav_id=348314

Hoće li Apple preživeti odlazak Stevea Jobsa?

Apple će i dalje proizvoditi dobre i skupe proizvode koje će kupovati mnoštvo ljudi širom svijeta. Jedini problem bit će čnjenica da im više neće moći tako lako prodati bilo što što naprave.

Radoslav Dejanović
Izvor: Monitor.hr

Eto krasnog, pravog žutog naslova! Privlač pažnju: svako je čuo za Apple i svako zna da je centralna figura te kompanije – Steve Jobs. Koji je malkice bolestan. Nahlađen. Što vragovi svih boja koriste da bi prognozirali crnu budućnost njegove kompanije. Pardon, kompanije koje je on predsednik.

U komunističkim i diktatorskim režimima praćenje zdravlja najmoćnije osobe deo je folklora, i to s razlogom – niko nije mogao biti siguran što će se sa zemljom dogoditi nakon što dragi diktator napusti ovaj svet. Ipak, preneti taj stav na običnu firmu, nije li to ipak malo preterano?

Steve Jobs ima dva problema. Prvi je njegova neobična harizmatičnost. Uprkos svom teškom karakteru, Jobs deluje na ljude oko sebe, kako na radnike kompanije Apple, tako i na gomilu potrošača Appleovih proizvoda širom sveta. Odlazak harizmatičnih ljudi teže nam pada od odlaska ni po čemu zanimljivih knjiških moljaca, ma koliko uspešni oni bili.

Povratak velikog harizmatika

Drugi problem je nezgodna istorija Applea: Steve Jobs bio je, naime, najuren iz te kompanije 1985. godine, kratko nakon izlaska prvog Macintosha. Sve do njegovog povratka u Apple 1997. godine (kupovinom kompanije NeXT koju je Jobs osnovao u međuvremenu); Apple je plahutao između nejasnih i potpuno pogrešnih poslovnih poteza, čme je ne samo propustio oteti IBM-u dominaciju na tržištu personalnih računara, već je dospeo i opasno blizu bankrota (od čega je Apple spasio niko drugi do Microsoft, investirajući 150 miliona dolara u deonice bez prava glasa).

Nakon Jobsova povratka, Apple je dobio nova krila, što se lepo može videti po kretanju deonica te tvrtke, “B.C. pa zatim A.D.”

Očgledno je, dakle, da Steve Jobs Appleu znač puno više od običnog CEO lika u fotelji upravne zgrade. Jobs je veliki harizmatik i poseduje moć da izvuče iz ljudi koji ga okružuju velike količne entuzijazma i kreativnosti. Kao takav je nezamenjiv.

Bill Gates otišao bez trzavica

Te lepe karakteristike nose i veliku manu. Dok je Bill Gates bez većih trzavica uspeo svoj angažman u Microsoftu smanjiti na formalno beznačajnu meru, dok IBM direktore menja bez ikakvih trzavica ili šokova na tržištu deonica, Apple je snažno vezan za harizmu Stevea Jobsa. Iako tehnički to nema baš nikakvog smisla – jer nije Jobs taj koji je napravio MacBook Air, iPod, iPhone i druge drangulije kojima se oduševljavaju mlade generacije, on je taj koji ih je predstavio javnosti, svesno koristeći svoju harizmu da pojača tržišni efekt. Pritom je, svesno ili nesvesno, celokupnu firmu lancima usidrio za sebe i svoju harizmu.

Kao i u slučaju diktatora i komunističkih vladara, smrtnost je kontraindikacija harizmatičnim vođama. Kao što su svi vladari i diktatori u nekom trenutku morali otići (ma koliko se prikazivali većim od života); tako će i Steve Jobs morati napustiti Apple. Narušenog zdravlja, Jobs je započeo tranziciju na manje prominentne figure u kompaniji, najbolju (i možda jedinu) stvar koju u ovom trenutku može učniti.

Nažalost, na njih ne može preneti svoju harizmu, što se osetilo u ceni deonica firme, koja se u zadnjoj polovini 2008. godine spustila gotovo 50%, na i dalje pristojnih stotinak dolara po deonici (u trenutku Jobsovog ponovnog preuzimanja kormila, deonica je vredela oko pet dolara); čemu je svakako kumovala ekonomska kriza, ali pad bi posve sigurno bio manji da nije bilo loših vesti o Jobsovom zdravlju i špekulacija o napuštanju tvrtke.

Vreme polaganog buđenja

Hoće li, dakle, Apple preživeti (sad sve očgledniji) trenutak kad će Steve Jobs izgrliti sve prisutne, pojesti tortu u njegovu čast i otići (nadajmo se) još dugo godina živeti u dobrom zdravlju u vikendici pored reke?

Naravno da hoće. Baš kao što su i države preživjele odlaske svojih harizmatičnih vođa, tako će i Apple preživeti odlazak Jobsa. Ljudi koji ostaju iza njega, iako uglavnom nepoznati, sasvim sigurno nisu početnici u svom poslu, a verojatno je i cela kompanija naučla neke stvari iz krize s kraja prošlog veka. Apple će i dalje proizvoditi dobre i skupe proizvode koje će kupovati mnoštvo ljudi širom sveta. Ko zna, možda će jednom uzeti i ozbiljan deo globalnog tržišta personalnih računara, i to će biti lep prizor kraja monokulture Windowsa; računar će tek tada zaista postati personalni (ne računajući nas Linux fanatike).

Ono čega neće biti je harizma Stevea Jobsa. Neće biti oduševljenog čekanja Macworld Expo sajma i iščekivanja “kojeg vraga će Steve ovaj put izvući iz rukava”. Harizma će ostati sa Jobsom i neće se preneti na Apple – tamo jednostavno nema ljudi koji bi je mogli nositi, ne toliku harizmu. Biće to vreme polaganog buđenja mnogih Mac fanova, a gašenje Jobsovog reality distortion fielda http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reality_distortion_field probudiće mnoge uljuljkane fanove. Hoće li se ta velika vojska probuđenih fanova raspršiti? Neki verojatno hoće, jer su koristili Apple samo zbog osećaja ekskluzivnosti, no velika većina će ostati. Jedini problem za Apple biće čnjenica da im više neće moći tako lako prodati bilo što što naprave.

Autor kolumne je jedan od vodećih informatičara iz Hrvatske i ekspert za slobodni softver, informatički novinar, bivši stručni savetnik za informatiku u upravi grada Zagreba i vlasnik kompanije Operacijski sustavi. Druge njegove tekstove možete pronaći na njegovom ličnom blogu oddparity.org.

Šta smo naučli:

[li]Apple-ovi proizvodi su ‘skupi’,[/li]
[li]Steve je ‘nahlađen’,[/li]
[li]crna budućnost za Apple,[/li]
[li]Apple je u komunističkom i diktatorskom režimu,[/li]
[li]Steve ima dva problema: harizmatičnost, (‘teškog’ je karaktera) i nezgodna istorija Applea,[/li]
[li]MicroSoft je spasio Apple od bankrota,[/li]
[li]Apple je vezan za harizmu Stevea,[/li]
[li]Steve ‘nije’ napravio MacBook Air, iPod, iPhone i druge ‘drandulije’ kojima se ‘oduševljavaju’ (samo) mlade generacije, on ih je ‘predstavio’ javnosti,[/li]
[li]‘usidrio’ je celokupnu firmu za sebe i svoju harizmu,[/li]
[li]Steve će ‘morati’ napustiti Apple (radi se o ‘smrtnosti’);[/li]
[li]u toku je tranzicija na ‘manje priminentne’ figure ali na njih neće moći preneti svoju harizmu što se osetilo u ceni deonica,[/li]
[li]pad deonica bi bio manji da je Steve zdraviji,[/li]
[li]Apple će ‘preživeti’ Steve-ovo odlazak (kome se ‘nadamo’);[/li]
[li]ljudi koji ostaju iza njega ‘sigurno’ nisu početnici u svom poslu,[/li]
[li]Apple je ‘verovatno’ naučo neke stvari iz krize s kraja prošlog veka,[/li]
[li]‘možda’ će uzeti i ozbiljan deo globalnog tržišta ‘personalnih’ računara,[/li]
[li]tada će tek računar postati ‘personalan’ (neračunajući ‘njih’ Linux fanatike);[/li]
[li]neće više biti harizme jer ‘nema ljudi koji bi je mogli nositi’,[/li]
[li]doći će vreme ‘polaganog’ buđenja ‘uljuljkanih’ Mac fanova,[/li]
[li]doći će do gašenja ‘reality distortion field-a’,[/li]
[li]Apple je korišćen samo zbog ‘osećaja ekskluzivnosti’,[/li]
[li]problem će biti ‘čnjenica’ da Apple neće moći prodati ‘bilo šta’ što napravi.[/li]
:pinch: :( :S 😊 :huh: :unsure: 😠 :ohmy: :blink: :woohoo: :laugh: :ohmy: :cheer: 😊 😉 B)

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🍎 Дарко Селаковић

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Posted: 05 March 2009 09:10 AM   [ # 1 ]
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Jekete jek…
Sve nekako ali kad je rekao ‘lako prodati bilo šta’
:S
Pošto je ekspert za slobodni softver neka proba da proda da vidi šta je danas a i juče lako prodati.

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Posted: 05 March 2009 10:51 AM   [ # 2 ]
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Pa lako je prodati kad Steve: ‘...koristeći svoju harizmu da pojača tržišni efekt’. :blink:

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🍎 Дарко Селаковић

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Posted: 19 August 2009 05:43 PM   [ # 3 ]
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For five years the owner of the Jackling House in Woodside, California, has been trying to knock it down. He hates the place, calling it “one of the biggest abominations of a house I’ve ever seen”. He hates it so much, he has abandoned it to live a few miles away in Palo Alto. Pictures of the interior show a ghostly, decaying mansion. The owner can’t knock it down because of protests from conservationists. But a deal has been done. He will spend $600,000 to have it taken down and will have it rebuilt elsewhere — not a big victory by his standards, but a satisfying one. He has been having a hard time lately.

In June, The Wall Street Journal revealed that Steve Jobs, chief executive of Apple Inc and the owner of the Jackling House, had had a liver transplant at the Methodist University Hospital in Memphis, Tennessee, in April. He’d taken a house in Memphis to be nearby if a liver became available. He had chosen Tennessee because of its short transplant waiting list. But, even there, to get to the top of the list means you have to be close to death. He was, the hospital confirmed, “the sickest patient on the waiting list at the time”.

Philip Elmer-DeWitt, author of the Apple 2.0 blog at CNNmoney.com, e-mails me the grim details of his operation: “He’s lost his gall-bladder, part of his stomach, part of his pancreas, the upper end of his small intestine and now has someone else’s liver, which probably means he’ll be on immunosuppressant drugs for the rest of his life. That can’t be fun.”

On January 5, Jobs had written to the “Apple Community” explaining that he was ill and taking six months off work. “Fortunately, after further testing,” he wrote, “my doctors think they have found the cause — a hormone imbalance that has been ‘robbing’ me of the proteins my body needs to be healthy. Sophisticated blood tests have confirmed this diagnosis.”
Apple Inc is worth around $140 billion. But is it worth anything without Jobs? It is a company formed around his personality and inspiration. It is also the most watched, envied, admired and adored company in the world. So how, you may wonder, was it possible for Jobs to put out such a statement four months before a liver transplant? And how was it possible for consumer capitalism’s greatest hero to pull off the Memphis Liver Caper in absolute secrecy?

The answer is that, along with computers, iPhones and iPods, secrecy is one of Apple’s signature products. A cult of corporate omerta — the mafia code of silence — is ruthlessly enforced, with employees sacked for leaks and careless talk. Executives feed deliberate misinformation into one part of the company so that any leak can be traced back to its source. Workers on sensitive projects have to pass through many layers of security. Once at their desks or benches, they are monitored by cameras and they must cover up devices with black cloaks and turn on red warning lights when they are uncovered. “The secrecy is beyond fastidious and is in fact insultingly petty and political,” says one employee on the anonymous corporate reporting site Glassdoor.com, “and often is an impediment to actually getting one’s work done.”

But employees are one thing; shareholders are another. Should Jobs (who, as far as the world is concerned, is Apple) have been allowed to conceal the seriousness of his illness? Warren Buffett, the greatest investor alive, doesn’t think so. “Whether [Steve Jobs] is facing serious surgery or not is a material fact.”

Some say another sign that Apple omerta has gone too far was the death of Sun Danyong, a 25-year-old employee of Foxconn, a Chinese manufacturer of Apple machines. He was given 16 prototypes of new iPhones. One disappeared. Facts beyond that get hazy, but it is clear that Sun committed suicide by jumping from a 12th-storey apartment. Internet babble says he killed himself because of the vanished prototype and, therefore, because of Apple’s obsessive secrecy.

Then there is the recent case of the exploding iPod in Liverpool. Ellie Stanborough’s iPod touch went up in a puff of smoke. Her father, Ken, complained, but Apple said he could only have a refund if he promised not to talk. He refused. “They’re putting a restriction on myself, my daughter and Ellie’s mum not to say anything to anyone,” said Ken. “If we inadvertently did say anything… they could take litigation against us. I thought that was absolutely appalling.” This isn’t the freewheeling, good-times California lifestyle image the company likes to project. It is, rather, that of a much tougher and paranoid operation.

Yet secrecy is Apple’s core marketing tool. Jobs’s specialities are 90-minute to two-hour-long presentations to prayer meetings of the faithful. These always end with the words “and one last thing”, at which point he unveils the latest gizmo to geek hallelujahs. Rumours suggest he is, in spite of the transplant, about to do it again in the next few weeks. It will be a dual sensation: the sight of a walking, talking Jobs and of a new tablet computer, a sort of giant iPhone, which, some say, will yet again change the world. Excitement intensified early this month when an unnamed “analyst” was reported as having actually held the tablet. He said it was “better than your average movie experience”.

The secrecy is all about preserving the magic of each new product. Apple hates personality stuff and press intrusion. “We want to discourage profiles,” an Apple PR tells me stiffly, apparently unaware she is waving a sackful of red rags at a herd of bulls. Another PR rings the editor of this magazine to try to halt publication of this piece.

Jobs doesn’t like being questioned. Despite his attempts to find serenity through Zen Buddhism, the agony of interviews can get to him. “Imagine what he’d be like,” said a reporter after emerging from a Jobs drubbing, “if he hadn’t studied Zen.”

[img size=400]http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/multimedia/archive/00600/Apple385_600386a.jpg[/img]

“He’s a tough, prickly interview,” says Elmer-DeWitt, “and he’s always selling. Hard.” In fact, any interview situation with Jobs can turn nasty. One excessively strait-laced candidate for a job at Apple bored him so much, he sprang questions like “How old were you when you lost your virginity?” and “How many times have you taken LSD?” on the poor sap. (Jobs has said that taking LSD was one of the most important things in his own life.) Then he lapsed into a chant of “Gobble, gobble, gobble, gobble”. “I guess I’m not the right guy for this job,” said the candidate finally.

The transplant was not Jobs’s first near-death experience. In 2004 he was found to have pancreatic cancer. This usually means certain death. He was told to go home and put his affairs in order. Then he got a call. His tumour was rare and operable. He returned to work, and in 2007 launched the iPhone, the latest of what he calls Apple’s “insanely great” products. The iPhone joined the Mac computer, the iPod and the films of Pixar Animation Studios, all vastly successful, influential products brought to market by Jobs. Well, “products” is perhaps a bit weak: “agents of global transformation” might be better. “My God!” says Andrea Cunningham, a PR hired and fired four times by Jobs. “He’s single-handedly changed the world, like, at least three times!”

But, even as the faithful queued overnight to get their hands on the first iPhones, new rumours were circulating about his health. These were given almost comical credence when his obituary was accidentally published by the Bloomberg news service last August. Then, in January this year, Jobs made his announcement. Then came news of the transplant. This indicated the cancer had spread to his liver. The signs are not good. On the other hand, he seems to be up and about. He has gone back to work, and Elmer-DeWitt has reported that he’s been seen at a Coldplay concert. Cunningham has seen him going into the Fraiche yoghurt cafe in Palo Alto near her office. “He walks by occasionally. He looks pretty good, actually, and they do make great yoghurt.”

The drama of it all is intense, important — not least for Apple shareholders — and strangely thrilling. Jobs, in business, has died before and risen from the grave. For the past 12 years he has been the risen God of Silicon Valley, the Sun King of Palo Alto. Yet it won’t be until squadrons of pigs are flying over the frozen wastes of hell that he will appear on Oprah Winfrey or Larry King to tell the world how he feels about all this.
Jobs can be a cold, hard boss. In fact, judged simply as an office politician, he can seem pretty hopeless. He blew it in 1985. Having launched the Macintosh, he was driven out of Apple by John Sculley, the CEO he had lured from Pepsi-Cola with the hubristic and diet-conscious words “Do you want to spend the rest of your life selling sugared water, or do you want a chance to change the world?” Many at Apple were happy to see Jobs go. They would be sad soon afterwards.

That’s Bad Steve. But then there’s Good Steve. Abused employees, if they survive, often find themselves praised to the heavens. They ride on what is know as the “hero-asshole rollercoaster” and they live inside the “reality distortion field”, Jobs’s uncanny ability to convince people that the utterly impossible is, in fact, entirely possible.

Good Steve is the only businessman to be accorded rock-god status by millions. Apple nuts queue overnight to hear him speak. They buy Macs, iPods and iPhones not just because they want them, but also because they want to support this company as if it were some kind of charity or cult. The nuts aren’t wrong for one crucial reason. Though personally worth $3.4 billion, Jobs is one of them, the great consumer of his own products.

“Jobs is not an engineer,” says the writer Dan Lyons, “he can’t really design anything and he doesn’t know anything about circuits. But he is the ultimate end-user, the guy who is on our side.” Lyons created the Secret Diary of Steve Jobs blog with a motto that captures the strange Jobs mix of geek fantasy and power: “I will restore your sense of childlike wonder. There is nothing you can do to stop me.” And so, amid the secrecy and geekery, Good and Bad Steves blend to form one, gigantic, mesmerising personality. “He would have made,” said Jef Raskin, the brain behind the first Mac, “an excellent king of France.”

To call Jobs a control freak is to call rain wet. When building the first Mac, engineers wanted to include “expansion slots” into which people could slide kit to customise their machines.

Jobs resisted. The machine was his and it had to be closed and perfect. And he’s still at it: he has made it impossible for buyers even to change the batteries on his latest laptops.

But he has eased off on this with the iPhone. He has allowed outside companies to develop applications — “apps” — that can be downloaded to the phone. These range from Grindr — a gay cruising tool that helps you find nearby gays — to Shakespeare, which stores all the plays on your phone. The success of apps has stunned Apple. By the end of the year there will be 100,000 apps available. There have already been 1.5 billion downloads. Some have speculated that the app cult will supplant the internet. Certainly the new tablet Mac will be based on this phenomenon. Jobs also has a bizarre obsession with the insides of his machines. He drives his engineers mad by insisting that insides look beautiful, even though his customers won’t see this. This code of impenetrable perfection even extends to Jobs’s view of his own body. He has always been a fussy eater, and health problems have intensified this. His favourite dish was once said to be shredded raw carrots without dressing.

Jobs is, in the words of the psychiatrist and scholar of leadership Michael Maccoby, “a productive narcissist”. To Jobs, the world is an epiphenomenon, a side effect of the existence of Steve. Or rather, it is a pyramid with Jobs at the top, a few bright people just beneath him, and then the rest of us — the “bozos”. The customer bozo is not, to him, always right. In the early days it was said the Apple marketing department consisted of Jobs looking in his mirror and asking himself what he wanted. His customer-relations motto is from Henry Ford: “If I’d asked my customers what they wanted, they’d have said a faster horse.” In a world driven by technology, only the technocrats know what we want and need.

Silicon Valley, south of San Francisco, was once simply the Santa Clara Valley, a land of orchards. Now it’s a land of smart, rich people who eat breakfast daily suffused with the conviction that today is the day they will make billions and change the world. It was in here, in the town of Mountain View, that Jobs spent his childhood. He was born to Joanne Schieble and Abdulfattah Jandali in San Francisco. They were young and unmarried and, as a result, he was adopted by Paul and Clara Jobs. They seem to have provided a good home, but everybody is convinced that the mere fact of the adoption did much to form Jobs’s character. Michael Maccoby thinks the key might be the idea of the absent or lost father.

“The very striking thing about productive narcissists, particularly men, is that they grow up in families where there is an absent or weak father figure. You can see this in narcissistic presidents like Obama, Clinton, Reagan and Nixon. They struggle with their identity and view of the world. So they tend to come up with a very original view of things and are then driven to find followers.”

Later, Jobs dropped out of college. Again, this seems to have been crucial. Alan Deutschman, author of The Second Coming of Steve Jobs, says his lack of a proper education in a world of highly educated people left him permanently insecure, especially in matters of taste. “I think his choice of a minimalist aesthetic comes from his fear of making the wrong aesthetic choice. He was someone who had great wealth from his early twenties. He was worried about not being seen as a brilliant sophisticate, so he had gurus to help him. There was this anxiety about being judged, combined with a natural instinct about the tremendous importance of design.”

There was another sense in which Jobs seemed to miss out. Deutschman says he “lagged the zeitgeist”. He was too young — 12 in 1967 — to enjoy the full hippie, summer-of-love experience. Yet he seemed to want to catch up, travelling, like the Beatles, to India to find enlightenment, and returning, unlike the Beatles, a Buddhist.
His first business persona was that of counter-cultural guerrilla, a silicon Che Guevara. The Mac was launched with the most famous TV ad ever made, a tour de force of ad-art directed by Ridley Scott. It portrayed IBM as George Orwell’s Big Brother and Apple as a blonde, athletic Californian-type freedom fighter, smashing Big Brother’s screen with a sledgehammer.

Finally, he even dated Joan Baez, the folk-singing goddess of the counterculture. Some said it was because she had been the lover of Bob Dylan, and Jobs is crazy about Bob. According to Deutschman’s book, he later said gracelessly:

“I would have married Joan Baez but she was too old to have my children.”

Which brings me to the matter of Jobs and women. This has been a rocky road. When his first serious girlfriend, Chris-Ann, became pregnant, he refused to accept it was anything to do with him. Lisa, his daughter, was born in a commune in Oregon in 1978. They have since been reconciled. That would be that but for the fact that, in the early 1980s, Jobs rediscovered his biological parents. They had married and had a daughter, Mona Simpson, his sister. She was a highly regarded novelist, who in 1996 published A Regular Guy, about a driven, narcissistic superstar business man and his relations with the daughter he had abandoned. At every turn, Jobs’s story seems to grow into fiction and then myth.

Jobs seems to go for the blonde, athletic Californian look of the girl in the Mac ad. It may be one more aspect of his pursuit of belonging in the pampered groves of the Valley. In 1991, at a Zen Buddhist ceremony, he married a woman — Laurene Powell — with precisely that look. They are still together and have three children.

His eviction from Apple in 1985 was a death and he did not go gently into that good night. One day he called Andrea Cunningham to the Jackling House to talk about his new company. She found him in the almost entirely unfurnished house haranguing journalists about the iniquities of his usurper, John Sculley. “He was pretty much ranting. I was quite shocked that someone of his abilities and intelligence and all of that would attempt what he was trying to attempt. It was just amazing.”

Then came the wilderness years. Apple lost its way, and by the mid-1990s it was on the verge of collapse. Its computers were dull and the Apple operating system was buggy and awful. I reluctantly abandoned them at this point. Jobs’s new company, NeXT, meanwhile, went nowhere. It made beautiful-looking computers for education. But they were expensive and impossible to sell.

In 1986 he bought — from the creator of Star Wars, George Lucas — a strange commune of brilliant men who were convinced that movies could be made on computers. It was called Pixar. They were inventing the technology as they went along. That, too, seemed to be going nowhere.

Saddled with these increasingly implausible projects, Jobs saw his own massive wealth begin to dwindle. His press coverage, adoring at the time of the Mac, became sceptical. But vengeance is his and he will repay. Pixar went into partnership with Disney to produce Toy Story, and Apple, crippled and loss-making, took over NeXT and brought Jobs back into the fold. Within months he was God again. Pixar grossed millions, then billions, and Apple brushed the dirt off its face and leapt out of the grave. First came the iMac, a toy-like, one-box desktop computer that can still be seen in groovy offices. Then in 2002 came the real payoff for the grim NeXT years. Mac OS X, the new operating system, was based on NeXT software. It was superb, infinitely better than Microsoft Windows and infinitely more beautiful. I, and millions of others, returned to Apple.

Jobs couldn’t hope to conquer Microsoft’s dominance in the market, but he could easily make it look desperately clunky. Silicon Che Guevara, having defeated IBM, returned to outcool Microsoft. But world domination was still to be had. He took it with the iPod in 2001 and the iPhone in 2007. The first stole almost the whole of the MP3-player market, and the second is doing the same to the mobile-phone market. Apple is now the consumer-electronics company by which all others are judged and found wanting.

Inevitably, with his health hanging by a thread, this raises the question: can they do without him? Of course they can, says Andy Hertzfeld, one of the original Mac-makers, who is now at Google. “It’s ludicrous,” he e-mails, “to think that Apple is a one-man company; there are hundreds if not thousands of exceptionally talented individuals who work there. Much of their post-Steve fate will depend on the leadership that eventually replaces him. The company disintegrated after Steve left in the mid-1980s; hopefully, they can do much better this time around.”

Others are not so sure Apple can do without his burning product perfectionism. “A lot of companies can do without that,” says Cunningham. “There’s probably a lot of business they can do with long-term incremental improvements to their products. But are they ever going to have another breakthrough product? I don’t know.”
“Apple will keep executing its current business plan,” says Philip Elmer-DeWitt, “which could go on for years. But it will be different in one key respect: with Jobs there was a guy at the beginning and end of every project who had the authority to say, ‘This sucks. Start over.’ Whoever replaces him may share his vision and job title, but he or she will not be the co-founder of Apple and won’t have the same authority.”

My own view is that a Jobsless Apple will seek a merger with Google. The two companies are rapidly converging, a fact that recently led to the resignation of the Apple director Eric Schmidt, the chairman and chief executive of Google. He had been on the Apple board for three years, and was forced out because of suspicions that links between the two companies could endanger competition. One other director of both companies remains: Arthur Levinson, former chief executive of Genentech. The key areas of convergence are, first, mobile phones. There is Apple’s iPhone and there is Google’s Android, not a phone in itself, but an operating system that can be used by other companies. Google also produce a web browser called Chrome, which competes with Apple’s Safari. And, most importantly, Google is working on a computer operating system, also called Chrome, which may well be a very serious competitor for Mac OS X. Apple’s iPhone “apps” also compete with many free Google applications. The point is that both companies are aiming to seize dominance of the world market from Microsoft. Microsoft’s Windows still dominates world computing in spite of its failure to innovate. The loss of Jobs’s genius for products would mean Google’s innovation and Apple’s design and market sense would be a very good fit, although antitrust regulators might disagree.

Then there is the mighty, epic question of Jobs himself. Can the Valley do without him? Can we? Opinions of his career swing between the Bad Steve/Good Steve poles. Those who focus on the former think he could have done it all without the tantrums and brutality. Gifted people have been damaged horribly by his behaviour. Jobs took against Alvy Ray Smith at Pixar and cut him out of the company history. “He has failed many times,” says Smith, “but the press and the public overlook that in their rush to glorify him… Steve and I don’t like one another.” Deutschman’s book is a cool look at Bad Steve and asks the very good question once asked by a college friend of Jobs: “How much of an asshole do you have to be to be highly successful?” One Hollywood boss compared Jobs to Citizen Kane, adding: “I hope there’s a sled called Rosebud.”

“Rosebud” was Kane’s mysterious last word. It turns out to be the sledge he lost when a banker took him from his childhood home. The implication is that Jobs nurses a wound that cannot be healed. Such ambivalence infuriates those who focus on Good Steve. “I think Deutschman’s book was a hatchet job,” says Hertzfeld. “Steve is a complicated individual. Like many of us, the good and the bad aspects of his personality are inextricably linked.”

“I think we need productive narcissists like Jobs,” says Maccoby, “but there are always quirks. You may get an Abraham Lincoln or you may get an Adolf Hitler; you may get a Winston Churchill or you may get a Joseph Stalin.”

The strength and relative stability of the company make it clear that Jobs learnt something from his first fall and his second coming. He learnt, says Maccoby, that a narcissistic personality like his, with extremely dodgy people skills, needs a more consensual character to keep him in check. He found one in Tim Cook, Apple’s comparatively serene chief operating officer, who is the likeliest successor. He’s not Jobs but he’s a rarity in the Valley — a “safe pair of hands”.

All agree that Jobs made Apple into more than a company. To the believers it is a great cause; to the sceptics it is more sinister. “Apple is less of a company and more like a cult,” says Dan Lyons. “If the Church of Scientology went into consumer electronics it would be Apple.” The status of the company is beyond argument. It is watched by bloggers who trawl through its patent applications and analyse its every move. “I swim through Apple newsfeeds like a whale swims through krill,” says Elmer-DeWitt. Yet the company continues to surprise and amaze. I don’t want Jobs to die because my computers and iPhone are, indeed, “insanely great” compared with the dismal competition but, more importantly, because he is an extraordinary figure. I don’t use the word “genius” about businesspeople, but in Steve Jobs’s case I’m prepared to make an exception.

Geniuses tend to see their own lives as universally significant, embodying the great currents of their age. They may not know they are doing this, but it is evident in their work. Everything about Jobs tells me this is how he sees his life, as the distillation of the high-tech revolution and of affluent, aspirational consumerism. He is, as Dan Lyons says, “the ultimate end-user”, both consumer and maker. He is one with the bozos and their gizmos. That’s who he is.

Surviving his health crisis may require more than a transplant in Memphis. Perhaps he will need a free download or upgrade from the other god that watches over Silicon Valley. If he gets it, then he can knock down that ghostly house in Woodside and build the minimalist mansion that will set his consuming mind to rest. He just wants a home really, like the rest of us bozos, because home is everybody’s Rosebud.

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Posted: 19 August 2009 05:49 PM   [ # 4 ]
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Nisam htio da otvaram novu temu,kad je vec ova o dragom nam Stivu
anisam htio ni da stavljam samo link,pa da pretvaram ovaj forum u facebook
sto se ne moze prepricati,ni citirati necu ni stavljati 😊

Inace,ovo je objavljeno u Sunday Thimesu 16og ovog mjeseca
i Apple je pokusao,iz,meni nerazumljivih razloga da blokira cijelu pricu

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Posted: 19 August 2009 10:22 PM   [ # 5 ]
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Odslušao sam pomenutu knjigu ‘The Second Coming of Steve Jobs’, kao i ‘iCon Steve Jobs’, i čnjenice iz članka su tačne. Doduše to su viđenja dva autora ali se u dosta toga poklapaju.

Ni meni nije jasno zašto su pokušali da spreče objavljivanje članka, kada svako normalan shvata da niko nije idealan i da ima i dobru i lošu stranu. Pogotovo takav čovek sa takvim vizijama u svojoj glavi i sa toliko velikih uspona i padova i odlazaka na onu stranu i vraćanjima među nas. Pa to mora da je čtava žurka unutra. Ono što mene zapanji kod posmatranja takvih individua je neverovatna energija koju poseduju i koja prosto oduva sve što je ispred njih. To je čovek koji pokreće stvari iz mesta i to obično uz prasak, ne obavezno u pravom smeru ali ih pokreće. Imao sam i sreću i nesreću da budem pored nekoliko njih tokom svog života. Iskustva koja menjaju pogled na svet iz korena, koliko god da ste ‘stabilna’ ličnost. Pritom je sreća u tome što je S.J. tehnički nedovoljno potkovan pa sa sobom vuče i svu silu tehničke podrške koja proizvodi izuzetne stvari. Pogledajte gde je IT industrija bila 2005, a gde je danas, i to sve primenjeno na nas obične korisnike. Kako je reagovalo celo tržište na postavljanje novih standarda kao što su MacOS, iPhone, MacBook računari, iPod itd.

Neverujem da je iko od nas kupio Mac računar samo i isključvo zbog S.J. koliko god se on trudio da nam ga proda. A stvarno se trudio. Stoji da kada se odgleda njegov šou, prosto vas ponese pozitivna energija i poželite da budete na neki načn deo toga i vraća veru da se stvari menjaju na bolje po sve nas. Barem meni, a definitivno nisam jedini. Sličan osećaj imam i kada gledam TED predavanja, prosto se bolje čovek oseća posle.

Na gornji članak koji je Darko preneo, ne bih trošio ni vreme ni reč.

Trebao mi je pouzdan računar koji će da pokrije sve ono za šta računar i inače služi. Alatka za svaki dan. Ako uz te kvalitete i izgleda dobro, super. Ipak je presudan OS i softver na njemu na kraju krajeva. E tu je S.J. odradio više nego dobar posao sa Applom. To je i Bill Gates na D5 conference javno i rekao iako je to polje na kome se najviše nadmudruju. Zbog toga sam i kupio Mac računar.

Hoće li biti Apple posle S.J. ? Naravno. Hoće li biti isto tako pun novih ideja i prvi u postavljanju novih standarda ? Ko ga zna. Nadajmo se.

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Posted: 19 August 2009 10:59 PM   [ # 6 ]
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Steve Jobs, Monika Seles ili Zdravko Colic..skroz je ne bitno, samo neka sljaka i neka ne puca/restartuje/kupi viruse.
Ko ga je napravio stvarno je na bitno. 😊

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Posted: 03 February 2010 06:36 PM   [ # 7 ]
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STEVE JOB’S PRESENTATION _SECRETS

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Posted: 05 February 2010 12:36 AM   [ # 8 ]
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Još jedan intervju sa Stevanom, ali od prije nekoliko godina… Tačnije iz 1994. godine…

http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/31896381/from_the_archives_a_revealing_interview_with_steve_jobs/print

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Posted: 05 February 2010 09:27 AM   [ # 9 ]
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castor wrote:

Još jedan intervju sa Stevanom, ali od prije nekoliko godina… Tačnije iz 1994. godine…

http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/31896381/from_the_archives_a_revealing_interview_with_steve_jobs/print

Ima i iz 2003.:

http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/5939600/steve_jobs_the_rolling_stone_interview

Ali mi je najbolji citat iz ovog što si ti linkovao:

You brought up Microsoft earlier. How do you feel about the fact that Bill Gates has essentially achieved dominance in the software industry with what amounts to your vision of how personal computers should work?
I don’t really know what that all means. If you say, well, how do you feel about Bill Gates getting rich off some of the ideas that we had ... well, you know, the goal is not to be the richest man in the cemetery. It’s not my goal anyway.

a kasnije kaže i ovo:

What’s your personal relationship with Bill Gates like?
I think Bill Gates is a good guy. We’re not best friends, but we talk maybe once a month.

A lot has been made of the rivalry between you two. The two golden boys of the computer revolution —
I think Bill and I have very different value systems. I like Bill very much, and I certainly admire his accomplishments, but the companies we built were very different from each other.

Post edited by: madamov, at: 2010/02/05 09:29

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Posted: 05 February 2010 09:50 AM   [ # 10 ]
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secam se jednog daaavnog clanka, kad je izasao prvi Mac, u kome novinar pocinje intervju sa Stevicom recima:
‘ovaj covek je kao mesija, on propoveda spasenje uz pomoc racunara. pozeljno Apple-ovog ...’

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Posted: 17 February 2011 02:21 AM   [ # 11 ]
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Nisam znao gde da okačm ovaj link pa sam odabrao ovu temu:

‘Stivu ostalo još 6 sedmica života’:
http://gizmodo.com/#!5762521/steve-jobs-has-weeks-to-live-says-the-national-enquirer

Post edited by: Darko Selaković, at: 2011/02/17 02:27

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🍎 Дарко Селаковић

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Posted: 17 February 2011 10:49 AM   [ # 12 ]
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Baš sam hteo da postavim link kad vidim Darko je to već uradio.

National Enquirer — USA verzija Scandal!-a i sl. toaletoida. Čak i da su u pravu ovaj put, to je samo ovaj put. A Džobsa su do sada puno puta proglašavali mrtvim.

Samo ipak mislim da se zaje*ao što nije kao Gejts (ili Dinkić) kao dao otkaz još pre prvog bolovanja, a onda nastavio da radi iz senke. Pre ili kasnije će umreti, mislim da je za kompaniju ipak najgore da to bude dok je formalno na mestu CEO.

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